In terms of job approval, Obama has 43% of the population in support, while 50% disapprove. Not too great when the majority of the population doesn't approve of the president's efforts. Although he was not responsible for the economic downturn, many feel that he's not doing enough to reverse the recession. While Republicans control the House, Obama has run into several roadblocks in trying to pass legislation to stimulate the economy. Many also are torn about his controversial healthcare plans, thinking that the economy is an issue that is more important to focus on than healthcare.
Of the recent Gallup polls, Obama is tied with Romney, the GOP frontrunner, for the 2012 election results. However, as Gingrich gains momentum, there's a possibility these numbers could change. Right now it's difficult to tell if Obama will be reelected because there's no one GOP candidate. Once a candidate is nominated, then there might be a greater chance that Obama won't win reelection. When Perry was the frontrunner, Obama's poll results showed that he would win reelection. As of right now, I would say that Obama has a fair chance in winning reelection.
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